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Strategies & Market Trends : Dave Gore's Trades That Make Sense -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: James Kibler who wrote (14189)10/18/2002 3:26:50 PM
From: Bruce A. Brotnov  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 16631
 
James, I like RACN because they did meet their .58 estimates and it may have just been selling "on the news". The growth rate perhaps was less than some wanted (14.5% for earnings I believe) but the PE of 13 is certainly reasonable and I have been following and holding and trading this company for more than a year.

Analyst Estimates Trend This
Qtr
09/2002 Next
Qtr
12/2002 This Fiscal
Year
12/2002 Next Fiscal
Year
12/2003
Current $0.58 $0.39 $1.46 $1.72
7 days ago $0.58 $0.39 $1.42 $1.72
30 days ago $0.58 $0.40 $1.42 $1.72
60 days ago $0.58 $0.40 $1.42 $1.72
90 days ago $0.57 $0.39 $1.39 $1.65
Qtrly EPS History 06/2001 09/2001 12/2001 03/2002 06/2002
Estimate EPS $0.00 $0.30 $0.22 $0.07 $0.17
Actual EPS $0.14 $0.51 $0.32 $0.18 $0.29
Difference $0.14 $0.21 $0.10 $0.11 $0.12
% Surprise N/A 70.0% 45.5% 157.1% 70.6%
Earnings Growth Last 5 years This Fiscal Year Next Fiscal Year Ave Est Next 5 years P/E
(FY 2002) PEG ratio
RACN
Industry Rank: 5 of 15 N/A 41.8%
(12/2002) 17.6%
(12/2003) 15.0% 10.07 0.67
Industry
(leisure&rec pr) 9.6% 18.3% 25.0% 16.2% 18.77 1.06

I can't explain the sell off in AHMH yesterday when they reported .76 earnings and beat estimates by .11 either. I think we may have seen some short term profit taking in both stocks and once the sellers move on they should bounce back. AHMH already coming back some today along with NLS which beat estimates by .01.

Bruce