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Technology Stocks : Siebel Systems (SEBL) - strong buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (6450)10/18/2002 5:42:24 PM
From: mtnlady  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6974
 
Well Liz it's sort of like this. There are only 2 options in play. Option a) This was just a relief rally from long oversold conditions or b) The economy really is recovering. So which is it? Your answer dictates your investment decision. Me? I don't see a shred of evidence anywhere that points to the economy getting better. In fact I see the opposite occurring. Even if we HAVE hit the bottom (highly doubtful) we should get a 28-65% retrace (or more!) of this run (as soon as this leg of the run is over with that is!). When we do that retrace what stocks do you think will lead the way down? Yep... companies like SEBL that missed earnings... So no matter how you slice it... I'll wait for better prices and PE ratios :)



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (6450)10/21/2002 12:12:28 PM
From: ynot  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6974
 
1. i'm not short
2. my opinions are based on observation
3. i spent over 5 years in the valley and watched sebl et al.
4. i have no opinion about your investment strategy
5. things change
6. there is no such thing as CRM, this you will soon see
7. the CRM 'concept' will be swallowed by ERP/DSS providers
8. this post is far too long and all imho
regards,
ynot :)