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To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (199419)10/22/2002 9:02:42 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
W L D; BTW in Jimmy Caters time..about 1976 the long term bond hit 12%,
that's a double every 6 yrs..in 2006 a 10,000 bond then will be worth
$360,000...
The Dow was 1000, and $10000 in it would be worth about $85,000
now..do you think the DOW will make 17,000 by 2006
that's what it will take for it to make what the long term risk free
30 bond will make.
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So much for the CNBC bulls hit that the stock market ALWAYS beats
bonds. The DOW should be over 12000 now to equal what those
bonds are now worth.
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I also gave that some thought last year those 76 bonds will expire
in 2006, something will have to be done to get rates back up
by 2006 if we want the BIG MONEY BOYS to fund our US
Dept for the next 30 yrs.
Jim