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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wharf Rat who wrote (8321)10/24/2002 3:33:21 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
I foresee at least $1 trillion in future FannyMae losses
in some readings, the interval of $500B to $1.5T comes up
so far it is very uncertain as to govt obligation
I read figures like $20-25B govt gaurantee
that figure is being argued now that losses seem likely
the next big bubble bust

FannyMae is like a one-stop shop for NazDog bonds, supposedly asset-backed

but with flimsy loan reqmts, dictated appraisals, lofty minimum income pcts, spotty credit checks...
I see a near perfect parallel to tech/telecom/dotcom bullshit

the parallel is a tough one though, from stock to bond
but it makes sense
one could elaborate with some effort on each point

earnings for dotcom -- earnings for applicant
PE valuation -- min income pcts for applicant
earnings accounting, balance sheet -- appraisal of property
hidden debt off balance sheet -- spotty credit checks
brokerages pumping stocks -- press/media extolling Real Estate
extended use of margin -- down payment pct declines

a bust is coming, just much different on pace imho
/ jim