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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Hawkmoon who wrote (54333)10/23/2002 11:39:40 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
The headline alone is precious:

Hicks Nix Blix Fix
By WILLIAM SAFIRE

WASHINGTON — North Korea proudly announced in 1994 that it had begun withdrawing plutonium-rich fuel rods from one of its nuclear reactors, which the world knew would enable the Stalinist government to build a half-dozen bombs. Coupled with its threat to turn South Korea's capital, Seoul, into "a sea of fire," this threat to the nonproliferation treaty deeply worried Bill Clinton's Pentagon.

Tough-minded negotiators were needed to head off the dictator Kim Il Sung's plan. Two senators steeped in arms control were selected to go to Pyongyang: Richard Lugar and Sam Nunn. They prepared to board a military transport plane, but the dictator refused them permission to enter his country; he had a different kind of intermediary in mind.

Enter Jimmy Carter. Within a month after the rejection of Lugar and Nunn, our former president was in the dictator's office, in front of CNN cameras, announcing — as only an unofficial emissary, of course — that he had personally worked out a deal to defuse the crisis. In return for suspending plutonium production, the Koreans would receive free oil, a light-water nuclear reactor said to be less dangerous, and the top-level diplomatic contacts it long sought.

"It was kind of like a miracle," breathed Jimmy Carter about his supposed conversion of the North Korean leader from lion to lamb on live TV. Ignoring the protests from realists in this space and all over about appeasement and lack of verification, the Clinton administration embraced Carter's "miracle." After all, hadn't the North Koreans agreed to inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency, headed by the sternly unfoolable Hans Blix?

As we now know, the Carter-Clinton crowd was taken to the cleaners by a totalitarian regime that snatched our payoff and secretly kept on building nukes. When confronted this month with indisputable evidence of years of double-crossing us and the world, the Communist North headed by Kim's dictator son said, in effect, "Sure we did — and your nosiness means that the deal is now nullified."

With the arrogance of successful con men, they now want to sell us the same phony bill of goods again: more oil and food and "safe" reactors in return for more empty promises of shell-game inspections. The so-called unilateral cowboys of the Bush administration won't buy that. (Suggested Variety headline: Hicks Nix Blix Fix.)

Instead, at his Crawford, Tex., ranch, the president will lay it on the line to his visitor from China, Jiang Zemin: Do you want a loose cannon on your border loaded with nukes? Or will you, with exquisite Chinese subtlety and Communist camaraderie, put the economic and diplomatic squeeze on your hungry neighbor lest it gain the destructive power to threaten China's Asian sphere of influence?

America and its allies will not use our military to take out the Pyongyang gang for the simple reason that North Korea already has the conventional troop strength and artillery power to inflict horrendous casualties on the South (including 40,000 U.S. tripwire troops) as well as in Japan, which Pyongyang will soon be able to reach with nuclear missiles.

That strategic fact of life and death invites the question that coolly consistent sophists love to ask: If we are disinclined to attack the nuclear buildup in North Korea, why are we hot to attack a somewhat less imminent threat of mass destruction from Iraq?

Saddam Hussein is a recent, serial aggressor, while totalitarian North Korea has not launched an invasion in the past half-century. Moreover, the potentially high human cost of wiping out the Korean threat should be an unforgettable lesson to every nation: The world must not allow Iraq to gain the level of destructive power that appeasement and misplaced trust permitted North Korea to achieve.

Our failure to demand intrusive, relentless inspection of North Korea in the past decade has made everyone more vulnerable to the spread of terror weaponry. (Libya's secret nuclear work relies on Korean know-how.)

The U.S. has learned its lesson from Pyongyang's duplicity. If oil-fixated France and Russia should awake to the danger of Saddam and join with us at the U.N. to stop him while he's readily stoppable, that would turn the proliferation tide. It's a long shot. It would be kind of like a miracle.
nytimes.com



To: Hawkmoon who wrote (54333)10/24/2002 12:40:30 AM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Hi Hawkmoon; Re: "There is no way that the driver of that carbomb could have known soldiers were on the bus... Thus, it was NOT a legitimate target."

Oh, give me a break. Jesus weeps! Is there no depth in logic you'll plumb in order to find a way of saving the virgin purity of the Israelis? You're almost as bad as Nadine.

(1) He could look in the windows for uniforms, guns, or those funny hats that soldiers wear.

(2) He could have been informed by someone else with a car phone.

(3) He could have watched them get on the bus.

(4) He might have been aware of some repeated behavior, such as the changing of the guard or something else that would allow him to conclude that there would likely to be soldiers on the bus.

(5) Given the repeated deaths of Israeli soldiers aboard bombed buses, it could be that most buses carry soldiers, particularly when the buses are going back and forth to places where large numbers of soldiers are stationed in the occupied territories:

As Palestinians arrest suspected terrorists, few trust their fate to No. 18 bus
Jerrold Kessel, CNN, March 10, 1996
"I have no passengers except for soldiers and journalists," he sighed as he rolled by one of two sites where suicide bombers killed 44 at exactly the same time and day on two previous Sundays, Feb. 25 and March 3. Most people were taking taxis or had found some other means of transportation.

cnn.com

It's not like this is the first civilian bus bombing that was killed Israeli soldiers:

CNN, June 5, 2002
An explosives-laden car pulled alongside a bus and blew up Wednesday morning in Northern Israel, killing at least 17 passengers -- including 13 Israeli soldiers -- according to Israeli police and emergency medical personnel.
cnn.com

CNN, February 26, 1996
In Ashkelon, the attack was carried out by a man dressed in an Israeli army uniform who had just mingled with nearby soldiers, a local Israel television station reported. That explosion occurred near a bus stop and a soldier hitchhiking post.
cnn.com

CNN, March 3, 1996
An explosion ripped apart a commuter bus on one of Jerusalem's busiest streets early Sunday, killing at least 19 people in a grim replay of last week's deadly suicide bus bombing along the same route and at the same time.
...
Two Israeli soldiers and at least six Romanian contract workers also were among those killed.
...

cnn.com

Belgrade claims another bus hit by NATO bombs
...
If true, it would be the second bus mistakenly struck by NATO bombs in three days. NATO admitted that a bomb struck a bus crossing a bridge north of Pristina on Saturday. Serb media said 39 people died in that attack.
...

cnn.com

February 14, 2001: A bus driven by a Palestinian terrorist plowed into a group of soldiers and civilians at a bus stop near Holon, Israel, south of Tel Aviv. Eight people were killed and 25 were injured.
...
July 16, 2001: Two Israeli soldiers were killed and 11 people -- several of them civilians -- were wounded by a suicide bomber at a bus stop in Binyamina, halfway between Haifa and Netanya. Islamic Jihad claimed responsibility for the attack.
...
March 20, 2002: Seven people -- including four soldiers -- were killed and about 30 were wounded in a suicide bombing aboard a bus near Afula. Islamic Jihad claimed responsibility for the attack.
...

cnn.com

The above were found by looking briefly at the first 40 hits on a search of CNN.COM. In addition, I've seen cases where Israeli soldiers were buried as a result of a terrorist operation, but where the bomb was not listed as killing any soldiers in the Western news media. My guess is that the soldiers were out of uniform, but that doesn't make them not subject to military attack.

By the way, the Geneva Convention is quite clear on classifying civilians who take up weapons as "belligerents":

The population of a territory which has not been occupied who, on the enemy's approach, spontaneously take up arms to resist the invading troops without having time to organize themselves in accordance with Article 1, shall be regarded a belligerent, if they respect the laws and customs of war.
fletcher.tufts.edu

The Geneva Convention is quite clear in its comment that it is legal to blow up buses with both soldiers and civilians in it (which would be a form of human shielding):

Art. 28. The presence of a protected person may not be used to render certain points or areas immune from military operations.
fletcher.tufts.edu

Here's the complete Geneva Convention (and other things), go and find the part that says that you can't use suicide bombers against buses, I'm all ears:

Rules of Warfare; Arms Control
fletcher.tufts.edu

Re: "Now had it been civilians being carried as passengers in a military vehicle, along with armed soldiers, THAT would be a military target."

It would be rather convenient if soldiers could be moved around in public transportation and that would make them "home free", but I don't think it works that way. Every US army that has ever existed would at least consider taking a shot at a bus with soldiers in it. This is a simple fact of war.

Hawkmoon, think about it. If there were buses filled completely with soldiers, and the suicide bombers could blow them up, they'd be doing it. Instead, I'd bet that military buses are either nonexistent, or are so heavily guarded so that no other vehicle can get near them. We could argue forever over the details of the morality, but the undeniable fact is that either one of us wouldn't even hesitate before blowing up a bus that carried enemy soldiers, with ammunition, armed and on their way to the front. Give me a break. I know I'm way more than bloodthirsty enough to take the shot, and I doubt that you're any kinder and gentler.

The basic fact of human nature is that if you are immune to symmetric attack, you will instead receive asymmetric attack.

Re: "So since US Air Marshals are supposedly on every overseas and domestic flight coming into NYC and DC (and probably a few other locals), does that mean they are military targets?? Not hardly."

Under the rules of the Geneva Convention, you might be able to make a case for allowing attacks against flights carrying Air Marshals. But the case with the buses is not that similar. The Air Marshals are essentially policemen, and I think that police are protected under the Geneva Convention (maybe I'm wrong here). And the buses aren't just carrying a single soldier, these buses have lots of them.

It's a fact (under the Geneva Convention) that when you arm civilians you make them legitimate targets (the Geneva Convention doesn't give a hot damn why you armed them). Using the atrocities of the other side as reasons to arm your own citizens is fine, but then that eliminates attacks on your citizens as being atrocities. You can't have it both ways, they are either "innocent civilians", or they are gun toting legitimate targets. If they are "innocent civilians" they can't be provided with weapons so as to defend themselves and others. These rules are quite explicit.

So if you arm your citizens, you can't go squealing about how the other side is violating the Geneva Convention by targeting your civilians. You can, on the other hand, squeal about how they other side has forced you to arm your civilians.

-- Carl



To: Hawkmoon who wrote (54333)10/24/2002 2:42:54 AM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 281500
 
Armed soldiers are definitely fair game in war. The conservatives on this thread (including myself) have often argued that when civilians are killed in attacks on soldiers, it's the fault of the local authorities for keeping soldiers (with ammunition!!!) in the presence of civilians.

Soldiers who happen to be taking civilian transportation while off-duty, but who only fight with military units, are a different case from militiamen who never come out from behind civilian shields, whether they are off duty, on duty, or in active combat. In the latter case, there is no way to fight them without endangering civilians; in the former, there is.

One note - as Bilow found, CNN very often mentions the soldiers on the buses (it just happens to be somewhat exculpatory for the terrorists. Pure coincidence I'm sure), but they very rarely mention the Arabs who get killed in these terrorist attacks. Buses have been attacked they went through mixed areas and had both Jews and Arabs on them; in this last attack, at least one Arab was killed. The terrorists have not been picky about their targets; an Israeli bus that probably has some Jews on it, is all they look for. They not aiming for soldiers as far as anyone can tell.



To: Hawkmoon who wrote (54333)10/24/2002 6:59:45 AM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
So long as the Israelis don't deliberately target civilians.


Goldberg reported in his article on the Hizbollah that their HQ in Lebanon was in a Apartment Building in the most crowded section of the area. This is deliberate. When the Israelis hit these terrorists, they are going to kill women and children. They are set up that way. Then the pictures of "Burned Babies" can immediately be sent world wide.