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Strategies & Market Trends : Guidance and Visibility -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: westpacific who wrote (79641)	10/24/2002 5:02:09 PM
From: westpacific	Respond to of 208838

Have to run, will be charting all the DOW components tonight and will post my results when done, around 9 or 10.

To: westpacific who wrote (79641)	10/24/2002 9:23:18 PM
From: nolimitz	Respond to of 208838

say what?

To: westpacific who wrote (79641)	10/24/2002 10:39:25 PM
From: SirRealist	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 208838

I don't think anyone wants a crash. I think the only real crash occurred in Mar/Apr 2000, and though severe days will happen, the crash scenario just won't happen. I do think that the Fed's control of the money spigot and war talk (which influences oil price concerns) can impact the market. Since the two guys heading both efforts are GOP, it stands to reason that they'd want the rally sustained to benefit the election effort (I say that non-partisan; if the Dems controlled things, I'd expect them to do the same.) And they can't be too obvious; the effort has got to continue some post-Election simply to make it appear unrelated to the Election. AMAT & WMT report 11/13. After that, there's HD and a few retailers, but there aren't many important earnings plays from AH 11/13 to Thanksgiving. And 11/15 is expiry day. So at this point I maintain my view that we should be okay till 11/13-11/14. After that the market can only run on sheer speculation alone. A pre-Election crash makes no logical sense at all, unless it's a major Al Qaida attack provoking it. And I believe the market is resilient enough right now that, short of the use of WMDs, the market would simply dip and bounce higher.