To: Softechie who wrote (8545 ) 10/28/2002 6:28:00 PM From: Jim Willie CB Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467 a cheaper dollar will do very little to repair the balance of our current account deficit due to complete dismantling of that very same apparatus which would benefit from a weaker dollar how? this is not as tricky a conclusion as it might seem we export computer equipment, telecom equipmt, consumer goods, many professional services, faulty designs in banking, and arrogance foreign economies are worse off than we are their purchasing power has been depleted sure, we will export some services to a greater extent but their economies wont be in much of a position to demand such services e.g. if world economy turns to recession, then US oilfield consulting services will cut back in the Middle East the USA has systematically discharged mfg responsibility to Asian shores we readily admit that higher gold prices will require 2-5 years in order to bring new production to market why cant we see that a cheaper dollar will take 8-10 years to return a portion of the US Mfg Base back to US shores??? until we return some mfg to America, a cheaper dollar will mean little this is the critical basis for the upcoming USdollar crisis panic who will buy more US goods? what goods will be bought by foreigners? dont you see that even supposedly US-made products contain large amounts of foreign-made components? so as the dollar declines, the prices of many US-made goods will rise !!!!!!!!!!!! this almost totally offsets the lower dollar effect take a computer networking product, for instance check a close look at the inner components at least 40-50% of components are Asian-made as the dollar drops, all components will rise in price almost nothing is totally mfr'ed with US parts maybe razor blades, detergent, and toothpaste not tech components, not clothing, not commodities of any kind outside grain even lumber is mostly Canadian our greatest added value industries are the most reliant upon Asian components, most of which will rise in price we in the USA are in a MASSIVE MASSIVE CATCH-22 we have forfeited not only our mfg base, but our potential to benefit from a falling dollar almost everything we import comes from abroad take a look at the recent trade figures despite an 8% drop in the USdollar, June thru August trade gap figures have risen continuously this will become a critical headline in 2003 the declining dollar has little effect on trade gap because the mechanism is gone for remedy a product of the Global Economy congratulations, brain dead US Economic and Corporate leaders / jim