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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: longdong_63 who wrote (20982)10/30/2002 4:48:18 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
right, so holding back now is smart, earnings dont matter
but future earnings are gauranteed in production later

I am most eager to observe the rise in share prices
from liquidity flow, in total disproportion to production
and even to reserves count

I recall arguments that Snapple was a $10,000 lemonade stand
one that offered earnings of $100 per year
how is that for valuation?
eventually the market wised up
but in crazy mania times, valuation gets out of whack

I expect to hear stories on justifying crazy high miner valuations that sound like...

- they will find new reserves, it is their business
- their production costs will drop with greater volume
- mineral extraction chemistry is making great strides in engineering
- by actual production, the price of gold will be much higher
- spot shortages are becoming more widespread, price exploding
- shorts are still out there hanging on, soon to be squeezed
- their share prices will be higher next year

I wonder if insane valuation metrics like "eyeballs" and "stickiness" will enter the equation
how about "shiny ore" or "gluey deposits" ?
I am getting silly

the challenge for us is NOT TO BELIEVE IT
and to SELL at that time
I just hope this thread remains well grounded in reality
greed can change perceptions of reality easily and quickly
I look forward to those days in the future

/ jim