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To: mishedlo who wrote (58118)10/30/2002 9:36:47 PM
From: Shack  Respond to of 209892
 
Ahh. Its really just when the complete opposite of the expected move occurs. (after some technical breakout/breakdown)

An easy one to see is the large downtrend line on the SPX connecting the August 2000 high and the Jan 2001 high which was broken to the upside in late May 2001 but could not hold the breakout. It fell back below and and sold off hard. That line was again broken in Dec 2001 and fell back below this past June leading to a harsh sell off.

We are still below that line BTW.



To: mishedlo who wrote (58118)10/31/2002 6:28:12 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Speaking of hounds, there is a potential hound I am watching for on Softie. Today it broke out above its recent consolidation and its August high. If that breakout does not hold and we eventually fall below $50.90, that would be a confirmed hound.