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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Killswitch who wrote (14937)11/1/2002 10:06:58 AM
From: Softechie  Respond to of 19219
 
Brian, Excellent analysis! Bravo!



To: Killswitch who wrote (14937)11/1/2002 11:05:12 AM
From: dvdw©  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
Actually Brian; my least favorite agency of spin TRIM TABS released information this morning that contradicts your surmise. Again, Maria Bartiromo on CNBC this morning spun it this way; " Mutual Funds have not been selling stock, they (MF) had accumulated large amounts of cash and used that cash to pay for redemtions"

"If" this is correct, than they would not have the cash to be buying stock now to the same extent that you suggest.

It cant be both ways. Which leads to what could happen in December.......? That did not happen in OCT.

Just like RYDEX Short capital sitting at approx 65% of Rydex money market assets, that capital has a finite effect. Mr market has done his part in positing alternatives to owning single stocks, this trend will be further expanded with the new single stock index futures. JT has done a good job of painting a scenario of cause and effect into the future, in that investors are being trained to look at indexes and deduce that everything is bad or good without really checking, meanwhile the exchange members are locking up all available supply in anticipation of a future only they can see.

These are indeed interesting times.



To: Killswitch who wrote (14937)11/1/2002 11:59:19 AM
From: High Country Trader  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
No fund inflows in October? And that was the best month in some 15 years? Sounds like not many believed the rally. Fund flows are a lagging indicator as they plow in at and right after the tops and stay away at and right after the bottoms. There have been several sentiment indicators that has been trashed over the past 5 years and none more so than cash levels at mutual funds. This indicator was missing in action at the top of the mania and it will be (if not already has been) missing in action at the bottom. Beware of indicatoritis. If trading was about indicators, we would all be rich. As an aside, where are the bulls? Yes, I have seen the AAII and Investors Intelligence numbers, but after the best month in eons, the trading forums seem to be infested like never before with bears.