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Strategies & Market Trends : Galapagos Islands -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: quote 007 who wrote (11027)11/1/2002 1:57:14 PM
From: Jorj X Mckie  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57110
 
We have multiple indices that have broken down out of ascending wedges and are in the process of rolling over.

We have the dollar breaking down out of a bear flag

We have the BPNDX up against a descending trendline

We have strong indications that this week's action was strong distribution with the tick and trin action.

that's off the top of my head



To: quote 007 who wrote (11027)11/1/2002 2:01:52 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57110
 
i understand--but do you have any reason to believe that this rally won't continue for a while or are you just being stubborn?--

Velo Jori Shack and others all say down.
Velo is not a perma bear by any means.
He was long for the the beginning of the ramp, a few weeks ago, went neutral, and is now bearish.

The chart patterns are bearish, the internals are bearish, and in spite of numerous +1200 tick counts the S&P has been flopping around in a tight range for almost a week.

Does this seem bullish?
Stochastics have been pinned to the top for 2 weeks.
By any stretch, this rally is way way way overextended. But yes, it could in theory go on for another month.

But unless there are fund inflows, with cash levels low in most MUFUs, once profit taking starts it could accelerate quickly down as there is nothing but air under us for about 500 Dow points and at least 50-60 S&P points.

M