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To: skinowski who wrote (58391)11/3/2002 3:28:48 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
The decline into October low (to me) was as clearly impulsive

I think this wave is the key. Yes it does look impulsive in many indices. But check out C or MSFT or even the NDX. That wave looks corrective, and in the case of MSFT without argument. Hell even the FTSE has a similar wave and it looks very corrective.

There just seems to be way too many stock patterns which point to everything off the July lows until now as part of a single a-b-c. We certainly could go higher in the short-term but MSFT, C, IBM and many others are up against an army of Ninjas nearby. Not to mention the options being heavily skewed to calls for November, max-pain says down in the near-term, and quite hard.

I am short as of this week and I will be adding tomorrow on any strength. And becasue of the max-pain situation, I may even play some November poots.



To: skinowski who wrote (58391)11/3/2002 5:02:49 PM
From: velociraptor_  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
I thought so too...but I can also pick it apart in the hourly charts and come up with a corrective count that looks like an expanded zigzag. Here waves A and C are equal in legnth, and B is a complex pattern about twice as big as A and C. Aside from the examples Shack mentioned, I have at least 50-60 charts with a clear A-B-C pattern off the July lows, where the B is definetely not an impulse. Given other data such as divergences and volume I think it now points to a corrective off the July low.