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To: Mike M2 who wrote (201824)11/3/2002 11:23:42 AM
From: Zeev Hed  Respond to of 436258
 
There have been many attempts, and when the "tension" between the market price and the real price gets too large, another explosion may happen. For that you need to have the cost of gold production going up sharply (curtailing supply), right now we are in a secular trend where the cost of producing gold has gone down due to technological innovation and there is a good balance between supply and demand. As long as there is over capacity (and not just in gold) around the world, inflation will probably be subdued. Real inflation (and thus a new higher cost of gold production will change all pricing, including that of gold. I just do not see that as an "imminent" case. The writer was trying to speculate that next year 6000 tonnes of gold demand will materialize from thin air, and I cannot see any rationale in that assumption. The main demand for gold is still jewelry, and that is not something that takes off during lengthy periods of economic uncertainties.

Zeev