To: Gordon A. Langston who wrote (314088 ) 11/4/2002 1:46:48 PM From: Thomas A Watson Respond to of 769670 Another Poll Points to GOP Sweep... speaking of rational. First it was the New York Times/CBS poll, largely ignored by the media, that showed that more likely voters nationwide planned to vote Republican, and now comes USA Today with a report that in House races likely voters prefer Republicans by a margin of 51 percent to 54 percent. The Times/CBS poll figures showing that 47 percent of likely voters said they'd vote Republican as opposed to 40 percent who said they'd vote for Democrat candidates, were even ignored by CBS' own Dan Rather's "Nightly News" which reported on the poll but never cited the fact that 7 percent more voters planned to vote Republican than Democrat. USA Today reports that the newest result "marks a 9-point shift from two weeks ago, when Democrats led Republicans 49%-46%." Most significantly, the GOP's 6-point advantage is the same margin that Republicans held in the final days of the 1994 election, when they won control of the House of Representatives and Senate in a historic landslide that gave the GOP control of both houses of Congress for the first time in decades. Frank Newport, Gallup Poll editor in chief, told USA Today that the late GOP surge is due to three factors: Jitters over the economy are declining. The poll found that those who said the economy was getting worse fell from 59 percent two weeks ago to 51 percent now. "Democrats were counting on worry about the economy to boost them, and that decreased in the last two weeks," Newport said. More Republicans than Democrats say they're more enthusiastic about voting than they were in the last off-year election in 1998. Of those who said President Bush was a factor in their vote, respondents said 2-1 they were voting in favor of Bush, not against him. His job approval is 63 percent. Control of the House is determined by the outcomes of 435 races, but what's known as the "generic ballot question" - which party's candidate will you vote for? - has been an accurate predictor of the House majority for 50 years. newsmax.com