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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (25049)11/5/2002 9:37:44 PM
From: Stock Farmer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Mq, not so fast. Yes, you caught me out being a bit too flippant with my facts. But the point remains. There are benefits and there are costs and you are far more aggressive totting up the benefits without consideration of the costs.

The value of all cellphone calls by drivers in moving vehicles must be huge. That is the value, PLUS the consumer surplus, which is the value of what is achieved by those calls. Offset that against the cost in lives and we'll be able to make a more sensible judgement.

The offset against CDMA's enhancement to life isn't merely deaths. Near-deaths, scrapes, bruises and even two-years-worth-of-heart-muscle from narrow escapes combine to detract from the joi-de-vivre that is part (if not all) of the joy of being alive.

Since using a cellphone in a car doesn't spread costs onto other people or 'the commons' other than innocent victims who suffer death or injury [property damage falls on the cellphone user through insurance costs], we should trust people to make their own decisions.

I might agree with you if this was true.

Being the guy in front of the truck on the back of which some maniac impales himself is difficult to live with. Heck, I feel bad that my hitch put a fist-sized hole in the grille of some tail-gating phone-blabbering idiot the other day. Well, I almost feel guilty. Secretly of course I'm pleased that my honkin' big SUV did the job for which it's intended without suffering a scratch. And while neither of us died or even suffered injury, the work force of a good sized New Zealand town was held up from work that morning just by the rubber-neckers who slowed down to gawk. On both sides of the median. And the goop on the side of the road probably poisoned some butterfly that might otherwise have flapped it's wings to loft Tokyo's stock market next week.

So the immediate cost was not high. A 4 inch hole. But the ripple effects... hard to quantify. Multiply that by maybe 10% of the billion or so cell phones out there and you've an unaccounted impact that is planetary in scale.

Perhaps folks can indeed increase their quality of life immensely by blabbering away in the car. But to avoid becoming a stain of charred carbon we slow down a little... on a ten mile stretch of six lane expressway. And force the cars behind us to slow as well. A mere 5 mph to prepare for the possibility of crazy drivers blabbering away inattentively. And this simple action reduces the carrying capacity of the road by thousands of vehicles per hour! All of whom end up stuck on some side street somewhere, locked in bumper-to-bumper traffic, and some of whom in their impatience try to do too many things at once (like call home while merging in from an onramp)... One minor fender-bender and the whole thing locks up tighter than a frogs rear end (which is water tight). To say nothing about a sprinkling of death and dismemberment.

And then there's the premise. The value of the darn things. If there was real value to society of all these cellphones saving so much time, then sure to goodness we'd have more leisure time. So why is it that everyone with a cellphone finds it essential to cram moments of distraction into times when distraction can be fatal? Mass stupidity, or mass delusion... take your pick. One would think that if cell-phones were so darn useful we'd end up with so much time on our hands that we'd go for a drive by ourselves just to relieve the boredom! So either it's a lie or the darn things irradiate our brains and entice us to do foolhardy things, or like chocolate and cigarettes the darn things are addictive. Dunno.

Trusting the broad mass of people to decide how things should run is what democracy is about. They don't always make good choices, but in the long run they perhaps do. A bit like Buffett's idea of markets being a voting machine in the short run and a weighing machine in the long run. Democracy is a voting machine in the short run and a weighing machine in the long run. Short term decisions are often nuts. In the long run things seem to muddle through better than the Kremlin way.

Here you and I are once again more aligned than our jousting might indicate. So you are preaching to the choir when it comes to advocating freedoms in society. I'm just observing that the case for the freedom that you and I might fight and die for is far from open and shut.

My response is to equip myself with a heavier steel cage, drive a bit more slowly, and enjoy the quality of my life for as long as I can. Sorry about the pollution, wanton waste of scarce petrochemicals and so on.

And oh yes... talk on my cellphone while driving if I darn well feel like it ;)

Drive carefully, that might be me on the road.

John