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To: Knighty Tin who wrote (203632)11/8/2002 10:05:31 PM
From: reaper  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 436258
 
KT -- IF we do in fact get a serious deflation, one would think that a primary repercussion would be the revelation that much of our 'money' is backed by specious assets (which will then of course feed back into the loop, causing more deflation, causing more assets to be revealed as unreal, and so on....).

now of course much of this 'money' backed by assets of dubious (to be kind) quality is made into 'money' thanks to the full faith and credit of MBIA, Ambac, GE Capital, and FSA.

it is therefore my opinion that in a deflation the credit guarantors will be de-capitalized.

since these are also the guys that make high-grade munis high grade, it would seem to me that, in the coming deflation, IF one were to believe one were coming, high-grade munis would be a particularly crappy investment, and levered high grade munis would be, what did you call it, 'death on a stick'?

just thinking out loud.

Cheers



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (203632)11/9/2002 11:28:55 AM
From: Knighty Tin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
The Italy Fund has postponed its annual meeting. Mgt. is discussing ways to reduce the deep discount on the fund. Good news for shareholders, any action they take. But some are thinking open ending or total redemption, and that is unlikely. Having the fund buy its own shares seems more likely.