SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Galapagos Islands -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TREND1 who wrote (12324)11/10/2002 10:04:41 PM
From: Lizzie Tudor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57110
 
3)Percentages depend on how many stocks are in index.
Zeev has data on how small the Nasdaq has gotten(g)


You wouldn't happen to have a link to Zeev's comments on the shrinking naz (or know the details yourself) would you?

I remember a few months ago a yahoo news piece saying the number of stocks in the naz was at 20 year lows or something... when I wanted it later I couldn't find it. I certainly think the naz issues are down to early 90s levels... 80s levels seem exaggerated, bwdik?
thx
Lizzie



To: TREND1 who wrote (12324)11/10/2002 11:06:04 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 57110
 
Larry, I posted charts several times this week, including on this thread, showing the VXN indicating a drop of 40-48% coming up. Is this a test? Do I need to show my work again? <G>.

Larry, some of us who were looking for COMP 1000 in October were off by a whopping 10%. It's too bad we had the date off by 2-weeks and the landing off by 108-points. I guess the fact that the drop from 1759-1108 was anticipated well before the fact does nothing in your mind to correct the error of the methods involved.

I was also off by 44-points and 2-weeks on the S&P low. Shoot me.

I can count on one hand the number of people who were looking for new lows this year back when we were talking in Dec. 2001 on Steve's thread. Most of us made money because of that. Many who ignored how bubbles unwind got their butts in a wringer. I was nearly alone in April when I was looking for new lows in June that would take out the Sept. 2001 lows.

There are a few ways this can play out from here, and the odds favor my scenario playing out. You have no scenario. I look at different possibilities and determine which one has the highest likelihood of playing out. I also keep in mind the alternates. I trade the swings.

I'm not really into going back and digging up posts to prove my point. I put it out there and if anyone wants to comment on it, that's great.