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To: energyplay who wrote (17687)	11/12/2002 11:58:15 PM
From: energyplay	Respond to of 23153

Take the above chart settings and plug in ARBA, ariba Looks like Mt. Fuji ! ALso notice there is a spike on a doji which crosses the lower Bollinger band. CMRC , an ARBA close competitor, peaked the next day. Inktomi INKT peaked a little later. Before Ariba, BEA symbol beas peaked. I think that by watching about a dozen components of an index, especailly the popular and volitile ones, you see much better than the actual indexes. The ARBA pattern wasn't the only one - and it 's pretty hard to miss what it's saying. In finding these 'tells', it's important to look at both the strong stocks in a sector, like Anadarko APC and Intel, and the weaker ones, like Burlington Resources BR, UCL, AMD, National Semi NSM. Often you will see the weak and the strong go in different directions. There was not much of a signal from Oracle ORCL during this time period.

To: energyplay who wrote (17687)	11/13/2002 9:56:20 AM
From: Kirk ©	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 23153

RE: Set for custom time period 1/4/2000 to 5/4/2000 Use Bollinger Bands SMA average and 100 indicator MACD (I should sign up for StockCharts.com, i guess) Next Click "Printer Friendly Format" then click "Back to interactive charting" and you get this nice URL that you can share here bigcharts.marketwatch.com Now I extended your chart back to March 1999 to test your signal and wonder what kept you from shorting on your signal in August 1999 or again in OCtober 1999? Instinct? Or was the big spike the clue? I remember reading years ago that we should look for sudden volatity increases as topping signs... Looks like it served you well. bigcharts.marketwatch.com Thanks for sharing.