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To: im a survivor who wrote (9793)11/14/2002 4:53:20 PM
From: Sig  Respond to of 13815
 
Best Guess=no war
Saddam is 12 years older than last time- would be much more concerned with his legacy . Can claim to have fought the US coalition and won because he did not lose the country. He may wish to live and finish in power
without WMD's.
He should know by now that the next war can be over twice as fast, and we are after his personal butt from the first strike to the last.
However, it may not be entirely up to him to decide, it also depends upon what the Coalition(or US) really wants..
Sig



To: im a survivor who wrote (9793)11/15/2002 4:55:35 AM
From: Sig  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13815
 
Reason #2 for no war:
Iraq is not exactly popular in the region, especially after the Iraq/Iran conflict, and neighboring countries are also competitors in the oil business.
Iran and Kuwait would especially prefer to see Iraq disarmed.
Their leaders are not without brains, and can figure out that Iraqs reversal of agreements to inspection, and
conflict with recent UN resolutions has had the undesired result of keeping US forces in the region and led to the recent buildup .
Saddam is not going to be rated a big hero in that region if he brings on a war, and I dont believe his 'story'
that claims we wanted the war is going to sell very well . Does that nutcase understand that ? Beats me.
Sig
At 4 AM futures are up a bit, Europe and Asia very strong. Go Bulls.
Note that Bill Gates has added strongly to Cox,Rsg, and Pks. Thats money on the table, and probably
a better LT risk than following an analyst who merely peers over the shoulders of active players and makes hasty predictions for which he often gets paid.