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Pastimes : Home on the range where the buffalo roam -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockman_scott who wrote (9807)	11/17/2002 1:41:10 PM
From: Sig	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 13815

<<How many rallys in a bear market ? >> This not looking much like a bear market now. Might as well ask how many dips in a rallying market. Too many changes since the old days to use historic data or cycles. Changes occurring faster, perhaps cycles will be much shorter. When did we have interest rates so low and such low down payment on homes?. When did we have $5+ min wage to provide liquidity, buying power to keep economy running? When such high employment during a recession? When such low trading costs of perhaps $8 for any amount. Options on more than 1/2 the stock Since the future is such an absolute blank, people want something to go by, some clues to what may occur But using the past is very risky Did that 10 year bubble have a useable precedent? Where were those who were able to predict the peak. based on past cycles and tell us when to sell? Never have so many investors seen and perhaps experienced such winnings as in that recent bubble, and tend to remember the positives ( how big was that fish that got away) rather than the negatives Fund managers attitudes will be very important now, we get to see some of them on the Reukeyser show. They sound positive but have been wrong before. They may not be big buyers, but I get the impression they wont sell which would provide a floor to this market BWDIK Sig