Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: SpecialK who wrote (40959)	11/19/2002 11:40:46 AM
From: Terry Whitman	Respond to of 52237

I appreciate the comments, and I agree that the sample size is too small to place much confidence in the conclusions. The period does contain both a raging bull market, and a horrifying bear market- so maybe it's not such a bad data set to make conclusions from. The trouble with studies on bear and bull cycles is the procurement of a data set long enough to be valid. To be valid, you'd have to crunch data for 30+ cycles, at 4 yrs. or so each, and that puts you well back of the point where the proper data was even recorded. One can speculate however, that a subset of a valid data set, that contains the main types of data points of interest (both strong bull and bear trends, as well as weak ones)- could be quite similar to the overall set, and thus correct. Impossible to prove, but quite possibly right. At least more possible than a blind guess, I'd say. It's all just speculation anyway, right? <g>