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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (25564)11/19/2002 3:53:04 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
as central banks scramble to resupply their gold reserves,
they will implicitly devalue their currencies again
as their govts scramble to stimulate their economies,
they will explicitly devalue their currencies again
the frightening unspoken issue now is collateralized sovereign debt

at what point does extreme debasement of currency affect the price versus gold?
I say "long ago"

the CB scramble will be made more serious when China makes its intentions more clear
they are soon to make their yuan currency gold-convertible
their trade surpluses are growing 5-8% per month!

if & when Islamics band together in forcing payment for oil in Dinar (gold-backed), then CB scramble will become desperate

history is very clear
building an economy on the back of mining is the precedent
we are in this mess now because of the appeal of paper,
at the expense of hard assets

the first response by the economy has been to turn (in a fakeout) to housing for security
but the paper corruption game has infected even real estate
the correction in prices will severely hurt the US Economy

gonna be wild, that is for sure
we must settle in disagreement
currency debasement plus debt defaults will launch gold
gold convertibility in competing currency will accelerate the ascent
that is my position
/ jim