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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Suresh who wrote (38427)11/20/2002 9:07:23 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 68586
 
>>If AMAT is laying off 10% of its workforce... they are
>>probably thinking that the glory days may never return or
>>even if it returns it will not be in less than 6 months.

I have to agree on this one. AMAT has tried to be loyal to
it employees. In the early days of the down turn they stated
publically they would not lay off people, but would try to
ride out the storm. Unfortunately, for them the storm
lasted longer than expected. Given the amount of capacity
out there, i have to think the run rate will be lower
than we saw in the 90's and early 2000's. The analysts
seems to conveniently forget, we had Y2K and then the
wirelss revolution to drive demand. Those driving forces are now gone. In addition the efficiencies that were added
during that time, mean a lot of people will not be back. This should do a pretty good job of keeping consumer demand
capped.

More bad news for other sectors:

Message 18257527



To: Suresh who wrote (38427)11/21/2002 8:26:51 AM
From: Lachesis Atropos  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 68586
 
Abroad-->Shoppers spend like no tomorrow

uk.news.yahoo.com

I too think the market has no business to rally. This rally will fizz out like last years fall rally -- December.

Susan also has a reason for this rally.
Message 18160969

Lawrence