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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: energyplay who wrote (25615)11/21/2002 2:59:15 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 74559
 
A Japan recovery??? No such a chance.
Japan's development was exports fuelled. A set of particular circumstances allowed for that:

1) Had the psychological impulse for re-built after WW II devastation.

2) The gains resulting from the destruction of the belligerent caste wiped out by the US mandate.

3) No competition for the goods exported, neither for the copy-cat approach.

4) A whole world re-building after WW II devastation.

5) A Younger population hell-bent on reconstructing the country.

Not a single of those circumstances are the anymore. Hence Japan will shrink back to its previous insignificance.
Japan can't use my two solutions:

1) Population-replenishment (Two narrow minded people, Homogeneity is the accepted social rule in Japan and it does not allow for variations on a theme even though they are profiting from some 1 million people working as dekasseguis there.)

2) Re-colonization (too brutal at the first go at it last century.