SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: AugustWest who wrote (41166)11/22/2002 9:37:58 AM
From: Paul Shread  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
>>The Dow also lost like 70% of its value during those few years post 29.<<

90%. And it had a PE of 6 and a yield of 15% at the bottom.



To: AugustWest who wrote (41166)11/22/2002 10:22:26 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Respond to of 52237
 
That could certainly be argued. And no doubt will be by the perma bears.
>I mean the dow went back to 1900 levels from '29 before starting over again<

Three years is a long time in bear years. The Nazdung fell close to 80% at it's lows. Maybe that's all she'll see..

A cyclical rally from these recent lows doesn't mean the 'secular' bear market is over. We could still see more ugliness in future cycles- maybe even new lows. I don't think so, however.

I suspect future cyclical lows will be at higher levels, as they were post 1932. Doesn't mean I'm right, though. <g>