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To: Paul Shread who wrote (60178)11/22/2002 11:06:04 AM
From: marginmike  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 209892
 
I am out sold all longs, believe 1 move up remains but will book massive 3 day profit



To: Paul Shread who wrote (60178)11/22/2002 4:37:36 PM
From: skinowski  Respond to of 209892
 
Sorry for the late reply, just came home… Your data seems correct. Lack of extreme blow-off ticks is supposed to be evidence that the trend may be healthy.

I noticed something curious… Often, let’s say during a rally, when the ticks pull back from a high level, so does the price. Sometimes, however, even extreme ticks will not “check” the advance… the ticks retreat, but the price stays steady, and sort of uses the lull in buying for consolidation. This is what has been happening yesterday, at least in the morning, while I had a chance to watch.

It appears that sometimes a wave of buying will be succeeded by a wave of selling (which brings the price lower) and at other times, the buying subsides, but the selling doesn’t come in… and the price remains steady. The mucho $$ question is to learn how to distinguish when this is a sign of strength, and when it becomes a sign of a final blow-off, which will end the move. Yesterday, it certainly was strength.