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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ajtj99 who wrote (41169)	11/22/2002 10:22:35 AM
From: Gersh Avery	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 52237

problem is that there has never been a bull market like we had that popped and there has never been a bear market like the one that we are living in .. this time is different ..

To: ajtj99 who wrote (41169)	11/22/2002 10:31:03 AM
From: Terry Whitman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

I've seen the 90% study. It's shaky to hang your hat on one factor alone, IMO. How about the big picture? Cyclical Bear Markets: Usually end well before 3 years in time. The longer it goes on, the greater the odds of an imminent reversal. They end with scant new highs and massive new lows. They end with awful news, negative forecasts, and bearish sentiment from the majority. The worst ones end in sharp drops followed by sharp reversals. They often end with obscenely low interest rates- sometimes negative in real terms. And so on. Don't get hung up on any single criteria that absolutely MUST be met. History repeats, but not exactly.