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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical Analysis - Beginners -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ron who wrote (12002)11/23/2002 6:42:10 PM
From: Sojourner Smith  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 12039
 
"...the market, regarded as a gambling machine, compares very poorly with stud poker or roulette, and it is not possible to "beat the market" by the application of any simple mathematical system."
--Edwards and Magee

I have been thinking about that a lot lately.
I really believe there is a way to set up trades and
use indicators and get the results 50%+ right, but
have $3 gained for $2 lost resulting in a fairly predictable
Profitable system. Most people on SI, Yahoo, etc are oriented toward determining market direction or stock fundamentals selection. I believe, but can't prove it, that the above are not the best way, because it can result in a feast or famine results. If one were playing the wheel,
where the green spots tilt the odds for the house, the odds
could be improved by averaging.
Averaging on a red/black outcome is overturned by old green
and what a slow way to make money with limits in place. (I am not a casino expert.) My thoughts are in markets there are no limits, but usually (myself) find it difficult not to try and be fully invested from the start of an entry.
I could go on and on but I believe there ways to put the odds in the trader's favor.