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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SpecialK who wrote (7122)11/26/2002 11:28:53 AM
From: Gottfried  Respond to of 95531
 
Ketan, VXN is too nervous for me. How low will VIX go: all I have to go by is historic charts and those show the low twenties.

Back testing the bpcompq: I'd like to do that but data is not available. Stockcharts warns that bp data for compq prior to June 2001 is questionable. From their web site...

Q: I am a new subscriber to your excellent website. I am attempting
to get the historical data for the following index: $BPNYA. Your
site however only provides it for the last 2 years as a link from
the PNF Chart page. The chart however can be delineated for the last
10 years. Is there a resource on the website where I can see the
full historical timeseries / record. Alternatively can it be added
to the site?
A: Prior to June 1st, 2001, we had to "back-calculate" our
historic Bullish Percent Index (BPI) numbers. Back-calculating
introduces some subtle problems that we cannot get around and,
unfortunately, these problems get worse the further back we go.
The biggest problem is that we do not have historic records of
when stocks were added or removed from the various groups that we
use (i.e. the NYSE, the Nasdaq, the S&P sectors, etc.). When we
back-calculated things, we had to assume that the membership of
each group was identical to what it was on June 1st, 2001 -
something that is not actually true. Therefore our historic BPI
numbers are actually just approximations of the real data values.
The approximations are "accurate enough" for the two years of
back-calculating that we did, but we feel that if we went back any
further accuracy would really begin to suffer.