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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: J.T. who wrote (15137)12/1/2002 1:05:47 AM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 19219
 
If you are projecting a second coming of the early December 1999 to March 27 2000 oribital blast-off and then "jokes on you suckers" sell-off. That view i can live with, because it does exist in the realm of possibility; and is one that can be knocked around in solid debate.( such a rally as the late 1999 to early 2000 rally would swiftly move market to all-time overevaluation, it would out bubble the last bubble post-haste)
My strong disagreement is when you suggested this was 1982 all-over, thus suggesting a sustained long secular bull-market.That view i reject vigorously on so many grounds i won't bother to enunciate, as it should be obvious why this can not be.
Problem JT, i don't know what your real position is, are you now an intermediate term rocket launch BULL, based on the crims plan,(i never underestimate the crims:) or are you saying the new bull market is here and it will just keep rolling, longterm?? Respectfully,Max. Have always appreciated your data.



To: J.T. who wrote (15137)12/1/2002 8:17:40 AM
From: jtech  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 19219
 
<<NYSE member boyz total net stock accumulation now at 1.8 BILLION shares for all of 2002 - which is equal to their total net accumulation from 1995 thru 2001 combined. Shares bought under public selling duress>>
Maybe the final bottom is when these boyz capitulate?
The money into stocks is from play on the U.S. dollar.Right now were the best of a sorry lot so we are getting Foreign investment.104.5 (dx02z) in july and then again in november looks like a double bottom.The dollar has just about exhausted this run up and its time for a fall.
?Can the boyz with Geensprints help continue until 2003?
I dont think so.



To: J.T. who wrote (15137)12/1/2002 10:46:27 AM
From: Steve Lee  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 19219
 
1) How can we decipher what portion of NYSE member's buying is for their own accounts, and what portion is for their clients who are not "smart money"?

2) How do we tell how much of the stock fund outflows are money moving to the "sidelines" and how much is being drawn down as living expenses as baby boomers retire and more people find themselves unemployed and in increasing debt?

Only when these two questions are answered can we decide how to interpret the NYSE buying and outflow figures with respect to predicting future market direction.