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Politics : Foreign Policy Discussion Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: skinowski who wrote (314)12/3/2002 4:57:05 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15987
 
Once a nation gets it, it’s there forever. –g/ng. The pressure on Korea IMO merely intends to put them on notice –so that they don’t overdo it – and do not become exporters.

Your logic is sound with regard to many other nations joining the nuclear club, such as India and Pakistan...

But somehow I think N. Korea is different. Essentially Kim Il Sung has severely embarassed Bejing, which traditionally views itself as the power broker on the peninsula.

It evokes an image of N. Korea opting to alienate it's foriegn policy from Chinese influence, which will either require deeper US interference in the Chinese "sphere of influence", or compelling S. Korea to develop a nuclear weapon of it's own to restore the balance of power.

Thus, to re-establish that balance, and limit any increased US involvement over this stink, China has EVERY interest in forcing N. Korea to give up its nuclear program...

The question is what price Kim Il Sung will be able to extract in return..

Hawk