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To: The Freep who wrote (60759)12/3/2002 6:18:25 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 209892
 
I agree with you Freep. I don't expect all those calls will be worth anything but who's to say we can't rally a couple of more points, then sink back into max pain. This far away from expiry, it is max pain which follows price...not the other way around.

I would add that any down whatsoever from here on the QQQ, and we will give up the Jan 2002 dt line breakout, above which we have been consolidating for 8 days now.

I guess I am arguing more for a lack of down rather than up.



To: The Freep who wrote (60759)12/3/2002 10:57:44 PM
From: skinowski  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
There must be a reason why markets spend most of the time consolidating… -g.

To me, today’s NDX action off the low looks like a abc-x-abc, followed by a move down into the close.

The SPX support line out of 10/10 is broken, and its attempted re-test has failed (at least so far, on intraday wiggles). The SPX line passes now a point or two under 930, and a rally back above that level would threaten the bearish case. (It is only a few points away… speaking about early warning systems -g).

The NDX support line out of 10/10 is still intact. I have it passing near 1083 – and a test of it would create a triple bottom on the 15min chart. More important support is the 1075 high on 11/18, still an eligible candidate into first-wavehood… (hmm…)

A break below 1075 would make the entire rally look corrective.

OT: I am impressed again how pleasant it is to deal with impulses, even with little ones. Truly, protracted corrections are Elliottian wastelands. One must foresee them, brace for them… and ignore them.