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To: Shack who wrote (60785)12/4/2002 9:37:03 AM
From: robin 187  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Also, if we don't fill the gap today...that's one ugly island reversal



To: Shack who wrote (60785)12/4/2002 9:38:24 AM
From: The Freep  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Yeah, it casts doubt. Then again, we're at Dow 8650-60 which is a bounce area a lot of folks have targeted, as well as 1420 Naz and your 1065 NDX. It seems like a valid buy area. Then again. . . the SOX are particularly smelly today, as is wunderstock QLGC. (Also, as Ski pointed out, we broke that steep S+P trendline yesterday. And I note, the banks broke theirs, too, etc.)

the freep



To: Shack who wrote (60785)12/4/2002 7:04:59 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Shack - any comments on this?
From Brian on the Fool

We broke through the trendline yesterday and closed below it. That was after failing to break out of the H&S neckline at 955. The rally also had a nice rising triangle formed, and has since broken out in the direction expected from such a formation.

home.earthlink.net

If this is the start of wave 3 down from the March highs, then we should not breach 954.40 on the S&P. Fib. retracement levels from the the rally are shown on the chart, and are:

911 (which we may be working on now)
885
862
841

Beyond 841 the market is on its own. We are probably in wave 1 of this decline, and wave 2 should take us back up a little higher in a few weeks. If it breaches 955, it will signal that the rally has one more A-B-C move left in it. If it behaves and stays below 955, the deed is done.

All the Best,
Brian