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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (22714)12/4/2002 10:38:51 AM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36161
 
["Mr Bond thinks that Greene will succeed in killing USD and creating inflation"]

...he has no other choice.

It's merely a matter of his foot on the pedal; does he mash it to the floorboards now, or gradually accelerate, or wait for yet another deflationary trap door/event catalyst to unfold to where he may have to throw on the nitrous oxide switch to pull us out of the pull of the Deflationary Death-Star Ray (vbg) ?

Inflation and a weaker dollar is the surest ultimate bet in the entire market....as they are necessary to postpone a Nikkei/1929esque rollover into a deflationary/depressionary death spiral.

Greenspan is now looking the Deflation-Death Star in the eye... he WILL INFLATE and FIAT's final chapter may possibly be being written before our very eye's.

Ultimately, a return to the Gold standard/abandoment of Fiat will and must occur.

When, not if...

This is going to be an incredible chapter in market history unfolding here.



To: ild who wrote (22714)12/4/2002 3:28:46 PM
From: isopatch  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
ns is one of our more aggressive risk takers.

Although I'm not, can say that I've known him for awhile (long before he came to SI) and IMO he has very good instincts.

Although I'm not an EW fan, think ns is a good example of why it's the savvy of the individual trader that makes the tools work, not the other way around.

There many analysis methods that combine well with differing risk profiles and personal styles that can produce a lot of success in the markets. And, this thread is one of the best examples of that diversity on SI.

Good time to say that folks because you guys are putting up a lot of good posts today. I'm enjoying reading them than writing my own.

Kudos

Isopatch



To: ild who wrote (22714)12/4/2002 4:46:17 PM
From: nspolar  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36161
 
ild, yes my liquidity fits into the picture.

There are many different strategies to employ, as voiced by all the posters here. Many good ones.

I was PM'ing with a good trader on this issue. He reminded my that one should normally pay down debt during deflation. I think necessarily not. If my liquidity is excellent, why should I not take advantage of a 2.875 % op, as long as I'm reasonably sure my return is much greater on money employed elsewhere?

I have always found it odd how major oil cos, I'm in that industry, go in the tank and tighten their belts in sync. No seems to take advantage of the downturns, when the bang for the buck in carrying out major projects is much greater than during the froth.

Buffett truly seems to understand this better than anyone else, so I feel I'm just mimicking Mr. Buffett.

We little guys can win against the predatory elite (to coin iso), all we have to do is stay ahead their shit stream, and make sure we remain there.