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To: D.B. Cooper who wrote (10053)12/5/2002 2:01:45 PM
From: D.B. Cooper  Respond to of 13815
 
forbes.com



To: D.B. Cooper who wrote (10053)12/5/2002 10:40:06 PM
From: Sig  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13815
 
<are you buying>> Yes, I bgt 1500 shrs.
Let me try to get a chart on here. Its like the one that caused me to own a bunch of Dell in 1998 instead of Cpq or others.
Vertical scale is the chance of a security producing the gains denoted on -axis (bottom)
If you make one of these on paper , and put your own estimates on the chart it make things clearer as to what one may chose to invest in, depending on the risk one can tolerate..

100...GB................................................................................................
..CD,MM...........D.................................................................................GB=gov bond 4%
90..........CB..............................................................................................cd=C/D <4%,
.................................................................................................................MM=money Mkt<4%
.................................................................................................................CB= company bond to 8%
80..............................................................................................................D=Dell., estimated chances ..95% .................................................................................................................that they will grow 12.5%/yr.,50% ..................................................................................................................chance they will grow 25%/yr etc
70...........................................D......................................................................
.................................................................................................................
60.................................................................................................................
.................................................................................................................
50..............................................................D...................................................
.................................................................................................................
40.................................................................................................................
.................................................................................................................
30.................................................................................................................
.................................................................................................................
20.....................................................................................D............................
.................................................................................................................
10.................................................................................................................
.................................................................................................................
0..........5.........10.......15.......20........25.......30.......35.......40.......45.......50
Percent gain per yr-can be in sales, earnings, whatever
Sig