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To: pallmer who wrote (3856)12/8/2002 10:15:11 PM
From: pallmer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29597
 
-- CBOT wheat ends up on bounce from oversold signals --

CHICAGO, Dec 6 (Reuters) - Wheat futures at the Chicago
Board of Trade closed higher on Friday on a technical bounce
amid oversold signals after Thursday's plunge to fresh four
month lows, traders said.
CBOT wheat closed 2-1/4 to 4-3/4 cents per bushel higher,
with December <WZ2>, which is in delivery status, up 2-1/4 at
$3.49-1/4 per bushel. March <WH3> closed 4-3/4 higher at
$3.57-3/4 per bushel.
Much of the activity was centered on position-squaring and
consolidation after the steep slide of wheat futures this week
left the market in oversold territory.
The nine-day relative strength index for the March contract
early Friday stood at 18 percent, well below the 30 percent
mark that is generally viewed as an oversold level.
Technical support in the March contract was pegged at $3.49
per bushel and resistance was at $3.60.
Wheat tumbled Thursday on bearish input from a wave of fund
long liquidation coupled with bearish wheat export numbers in
Thursday's U.S. Department of Agriculture's weekly export sales
report.
Also, a Statistics Canada report Thursday showed Canadian
wheat production this year at a level slightly above the firm's
previous estimate. The market had been poised for a reduction
in wheat production estimates from Stats Canada not an
increase.
Pressure from the delivery market limited gains in the
December contract with a heavy 1,066 lots posted early Friday
against that month.
"ADM had been stopping the wheat but they started putting
it on the street this morning and that spooked everybody a
little," a trader said.
ADM posted 306 lots against the December early Friday,
according to the CBOT.
There was scattered stopping featuring customers of
Century, Combs, Henning, USA Trading and LBS Div.
Some in the market had been expecting light deliveries on
the December because of tight wheat stocks in the United
States. But routine demand for U.S. wheat and persistent signs
of competition in the export arena from Eastern Europe and
recently from China has helped push the wheat into the delivery
cycle.
Export workings overnight were routine with South Korea a
buyer of 32,800 tonnes of optional-origin feed wheat. Late
Thursday, the U.S. CCC announced a purchase of 25,000 tonnes of
spring and white wheat for donation to Vietnam.
Further evidence of stiff competition for the export dollar
surfaced early Friday.
SovEcon Ltd., an independent research organization, early
Friday reported that Russia's exports of wheat in October
reached a new monthly high of 1.40 million tonnes, 124,000
tonnes above the previous monthly high. The European Union
remains Russia's major wheat market but Italy, Greece and Spain
also were good customers for Russian wheat during the month.
SovEcon said Russia's wheat prices remained highly
competitive and Russia is striving to increase its market share
in northern Africa and in the Middle East.
Weather in the U.S. winter wheat growing region remained
satisfactory for the crop with the recent cold snap pushing the
crop into dormancy. Wheat crop conditions remained favorable,
according to Weather Services Corp.
Fund buying was estimated at 2,000 lots. Carr Futures
bought 800 lots, Goldenberg Hehmeyer bought 700 March,
Prudential Securities bought 300 March, CIS sold 800 March, ADM
Investor Services sold 600 March, Tenco Inc. spread 1,500
December/March and Salomon Smith Barney spread 700
March/December.
CBOT wheat futures volume was estimated by the CBOT at
19,273 contracts, down from the 31,502 lots traded on
Thursday.
Wheat options volume was estimated at 5,958 contracts.
After the markets closed the CFTC commitment of traders
report said funds were net long 11,094 Chicago wheat
futures/options as of Dec. 3. Longs fell by 1,046 lots, and
shorts were down 9,781 from the previous report. In futures
only, funds were long 7,825 contracts.
((Sam Nelson, Chicago commodities desk (312)408-8720,
chicago.commods.newsroom@reuters.com))

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nN06170932
WHE/C WHE/

06-Dec-2002 21:43:24 GMT
Source RTRS - Reuters News