Fibonacci time zones
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Time zone analysis - "January 2003 - start of the 2.Golfkrieges?" 9.Dezember 2002 The terror Psychose - the notice on Bali, made the assassination attempt in Helsinki, the shots in Washington, the notice in Moscow clear: Each citizen must feel threatened, writes the FTD 15.10.2002. The author continues to write, "the confrontation of the broad population with terror and murder illusion leaves traces in the collective psyche on both sides of the Atlantiks." The "Elliott Wave Financial Forecast" (Prechter) writes in Decembers 2002-Ausgabe: "Socionomics fall out from the Bear Market - The rising incidence OF social conflict predicted by socionomics is escalating rapidly." Indeed, the mirror Nr.44 of 28.10.2002 has on the title page to stand "the world war of terror" and and with the title "the bloody message", writes the author "Russia is in the war - the taking of hostages of Moscow." In the expenditure NR.49 of 2.12.2002 it is called on page 126: "Israel is everywhere. The global terror reaches of Kenya coast. The assassination attempt of Mombasa meets the country in an economic continuous crisis." On page 122 it means under the Headline "murder after master plan" - "the double impact in Kenya against the international tourism witnesses from a new stage of the escalation: For the first time surface-to-air rockets against civilians begun, for the first time met it Israelis abroad." In a special report of the 18.Maerz 1994 Robert Prechter, founder of Elliott Wave international and publisher of the monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast writes: "The AVERAGE level OF social conflict during the bear market wants far more greater than it which during the bulletins market. The corrective process wants accompanied by by iodine OF tower oil emergency just in stick, but in all financial markets, including those in bonds, material estate, commodities and of currencies. Goverment of authorities, who assume credit for bulletins markets, wants require A scapegoat for the decline. The perfect candidate is "derivative. ... A bear market OF Grand Supercycle degree portends RK leases one major was, if emergency several wars or protracted being ring. For more whatever reason, disease sometimes plays A prominent role in major corrective of by iodine, with some Cycle and Supercycle degree of correct ion containing epidemics and of more larger ones pandemics. The most dangerous time socially and politically wants during and for A few years after wave (C), whenever it occurs." In the middle of January 1991began the first Iraq war "Desert Storm." President of the U.S.A. was at this time George Bush. 12 years (144 Fibonacci months!) later, the U.S.A. the military marching-up at the gulf locked end of the yearly 2002, as it was to be taken 2002 from the press and the media at the 8.Dezember. The president of the U.S.A. is called at this time George W. Bush, the son of George Bush. Duplizitaet of the events? The "Wave position" speaks for it. The "Wave postion" not only into the U.S. stock markets, but above all also in the t-bonds How does the Fibonacci time zone proportions present itself end of the yearly 2002?
[ 232/375=0.61866, 236 x 0.618=145.84, 143 x 0.618=88.37.88.37 x 0.618=54.6 ] [ 607/379=1.6015, 379/145=2.6137. ] Against the 17.Januar 45 days of the high of the 2.Dezember passed 2002 (Wave 2), 90 days of the low from 10. October 2002 and 477 days of the 21.September 2001. From the 14.Januar 2000 to 14.Januar 2003 there is 1080 days, the time interval is equal to the distance from October 1987 until October 1990. This low reached the DJIA on 11-October 1990 and 96 days later began the first Gulf War. Due to the "Wave position" at that time, (the DJIA and/or major Indizes) just at this time degree 4 "had locked a correction of" Primary. The markets began the well-known and historical "superboom" of the 90's. At the end of of 2002 however turned around the "Wave position" exactly: The markets stand before a 3.Wellen downward! The time zone projection points first on "high emotional days" in the period 10.-18.Januar 2003. Which the market at this time reached (high or low) the next time zone projection with "high emotional days" is always the period around the 5.Maerz 2003. (55 days after January). 34 days after the 5.Maerz 2003 is the 9.April 2003 and further 21 days would be the 30.April/1.Mai 2003.Der 26.April 2003 lies 144 (Fibonacci -) days after the 2.Dezember 2002, the high of "Wave 2". The 13.Mai would be appropriate further 13 days later and for the 21.Mai 8 days later. The 3.Juni 2003 lies 233 (Fibonacci -) days after 10. October 2002. By the 14.Januar 2000 to June 2003 there is 1219 days or 40,63 months, the well-known 40-Monatszyklus in the DJIA. (see cycles)
Fibonacci Turn Dates In The DJIA
On May 15, 2002, Elliott today posted a chart of the DJIA first published on March 24,2002.
TimeZone calculation called for a high on May 14. That call has done a pretty good job of
altering us of a turning point in the DJIA directly ahead. The high occured three days later on May 17.
The chart above displays four turn windows as they occured in the DJIA from the alltime-high
on January 14,2000 until the recent low on October 10,2002. The high on September 6,2000
divides the time-length of Jan.14,2000 and September 21,2001 into the "Golden Section" and
the low of Sept.21,2001 divides the time-lenght of Jan.14,2000 and October 10,2002 into the
"Golden Section."
The third time window reflects the short term turn dates : the low on July 24,2002 again divides
the range from the high on March 19 to the low on October 10 into the "Golden Section".
In the fourth window, Oct.11,1990 marks the starting point of the Intermediate Wave (3),(4) and (5)
of the "Great Asset Mania" of the 1990's. October 2002 is 12 years or 144 (!) Fiboancci-Months from
that low. Remember,on January 14,1991 "Desert Storm" startet, 93 days from the October low.
Can You imagine all the daily stuff of news, breaking news, war sentiment, economic discussion
not withstanding the endless debates about Corporate America, Deutschland AG and so on.
Market psychology is not responsive. It is not the result of events outside the market. It is impulsive,
self generating, self sustaining and self reversing. The dynamics of social psychology operate
in the same pattern over and over again, regardless of different attendant historical or cultural specifics. |
