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To: At_The_Ask who wrote (61324)12/11/2002 9:24:31 AM
From: John Madarasz  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
i don't have the exact #'s yet...

but i just read that the IIA is still at 2 to 1 Bulls vs Bears, and Bears have fallen to new lows for the post Oct rally.

"This in the face of a very large decline last week."

This is decidedly negative imo, especially when coupled with the MASSIVE increase in insider selling witnessed this last month. This is exactly what differentiates this years rally from last, as i mentioned to aa last month.

overhead resistance is such a huge factor here now



To: At_The_Ask who wrote (61324)12/11/2002 10:48:06 AM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
rpi.edu

You've talked about 1's and 2's before. What is the implication of that in your opinion?

David

PS - that count just blew up I think LOL

PPS - already updated for 2 of 3 ending here... how long will that last :P



To: At_The_Ask who wrote (61324)12/11/2002 11:56:13 AM
From: Moominoid  Respond to of 209892
 
PS

In my multiyear bear market rally scenario of which we would now be in wave A since the October low, wave A could be 5 waves as I assumed up till now (with the whole huge B a zigzag) or a flat or a triangle. In the latter two cases, wave a out of the October low can have 3 waves rather than 5 and that might fit the data better - still have the early Nov high as the top of wave a though. If it is an expanding flat it can take out the October low in wave b which we would currently be in. I am assuming that wave b is a flat or more likely an expanding flat given the late Nov top that I have labeled a B wave.

Should try to make some charts of these alternatives...