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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (15530)12/11/2002 10:47:23 PM
From: Lizzie Tudor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
So how would you use this indicator? IMO the fact that Rydex is no longer dumb money makes Rydex numbers useless unless the reading is extreme (but then it can become even more extreme).

I would just look for large pile-ons into the short funds from one week to the next. I don't have any other daily reading of how much shorting is going on. I will ignore the long funds, and historical *extreme* levels and instead look at short term trends. I have to do this anyway, because I don't have the rydex historical levels handy. Unless JT writes *multi year low* or something, I am just comparing to what was here last week.

Afaik, rydex worked in the past, even in the bear mkt up until 2002. Is that correct, anyone? I believe rydex was accurate wrt the post-sept 11 rally. It was only this year it didn't work... and even then only the first part of the year. It seems to be working now. I actually don't think much worked in spring/summer 2002 unless you were perma-short.
Lizzie