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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Softechie who wrote (10330)12/12/2002 1:57:54 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
I think USGovt officials (incl Fed) will attempt to usher the USDollar to a lower stable level
they vastly underestimate the difficulty in retaining stability
because they tend not to think it terms of CHANGE DYNAMICS

their greatest fear is my expectation
that a new dynamic resumes which was seen in spring
it is all about the dollar, and impact to foreigners
we cannot say "screw foreigners" since they own so much of our debt

DECLINING DOLLAR VICIOUS CIRCLE

higher import prices
lower bond demand by foreigners
translated losses in bonds and stocks by foreigners
gradually higher interest rates
lower corporate profits (from both higher supply costs and higher interest costs)
lower stock prices
severe damage to foreign exporter companies
severe damage to foreign bankers holding USTBonds
undermined foreign demand for our exported goods
which lead to....

MORE DOLLAR DECLINES

/ jim