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To: Shack who wrote (61599)	12/13/2002 4:36:49 PM
From: Paul Shread	Respond to of 209892

Nice trading. <eom>

To: Shack who wrote (61599)	12/13/2002 4:42:08 PM
From: Moominoid	Respond to of 209892

I did some simulations just now with my autoregressive indicator in my spreadsheet model of NDX and NWS which is a stock I trade (in Aus as NCP). A lot of downside is possible on that model now which wasn't a week ago. For example putting in the NDX changes in percent from 12-14 April 2000 for the next three days gives very reasonable values of the indicators. The indicators are today very much like 11Apr00. Not saying it will happen but there is nothing to stop it if the catalyst is there. JMHO