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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: AC Flyer who wrote (26256)12/17/2002 8:56:23 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
GDP is inflated?



To: AC Flyer who wrote (26256)12/17/2002 11:15:14 PM
From: lisalisalisa  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
>>>>>>>>>>>>The article you posted was written by an extreme left-wing "journalist" for a fringe scandal sheet.>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

small maybe insignificant point, but sometimes the extreme left and right are hard to distinguish<g>.....

"...Maybe even more, since Americans have been corrupted by welfare and programmed by the public schools and the mass media for several generations more than were the Germans of that time...."



To: AC Flyer who wrote (26256)12/17/2002 11:45:38 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Why you are using the label "left" to discredit an opinion?

And where is written that military budget has to be correlated to GDP? Do you mean that Thailand -which grew 4.9% this year must increase its military budget accordingly?

US "defense" budget is another way of parachuting the economy. Lets say that the "defense" budget was justified with the dry "The Russians are coming". Now that there's no enemy to "defend" from, why the budget is justified?

To bomb mountains in Afghanistan? Looking for weapons of mass destruction in a country that was -for the last ten years- forbidden to export oil for anything more than food or medicines?



To: AC Flyer who wrote (26256)12/18/2002 12:21:12 AM
From: energyplay  Respond to of 74559
 
Doug Casey was/is a RIGHT wing gold bug type. But still pretty marginal, as AC says.

Bonner's Daily Reckoning has some mainstream people they quote, like Jim Grant and Bill Fleckstein, and then an array of commentators who range towards the fringe.

Big portion of U.S. Defense budget is for pensions and very high personnel costs. A comparison based on purchasing power parity, especially for defense goods, would show different numbers.

A low end example : Current M-16 is about $800 -1100 (newer squad automatic weapon is more)
AK-47 from Norinco (China North Industries) is maybe $200 -250. About 10 years ago, North Korea sold AK-47s to Peru at $47 each (big quantitiy order, Peru was going after Shinning Path) You should take number for Russia and multiply by 3, for China by what ? 4 or 5 ?

The "Imperial Overreach " issue is something which is being discussed heavily in foreign policy circles. At some point, I expect the Bush administration to target a much more limited set of objectives. Looking at fringe publications is often useful, by the time something is in Foreign Affairs or Time it's already been priced into the market.

I would expect Ashcroft to get dumped either before the next election (2004) or shortly after, like Harvey Pitt and Paul O'Neil. If the Bush people keep Ashcroft around it will only be if they feel they need to get the hard right social conservative vote.