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Strategies & Market Trends : P&S and STO Death Blow's -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (20664)12/18/2002 7:58:13 PM
From: MechanicalMethod  Respond to of 30712
 
Resistance is futile.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (20664)12/18/2002 8:15:28 PM
From: Win-Lose-Draw  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30712
 
this will be interesting

such a euphamistic way to talk about thousands of lost lives...



To: ajtj99 who wrote (20664)12/18/2002 8:19:26 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30712
 
Initial indications are that if Saddam were to be attacked, he will concentrate all of his forces around his capital, with as many as 100,000 of his men, including the Republican Guard.

There are estimates that if the street war were to erupt in Bagdad, the US dead could run into the thousands.


Aj, No way that is going to be the result. As soon as the Republican guard realizes the US is attacking, they flee! These soldiers are not the like the palestinian suicide bomber types. They know that no fleeing means death for them.

My feeling is that as soon as the US makes its intention clear that Sadam has to go (during the start of the attack), he will try to negotiate to be allowed safe passage.....and the "war" is over. His soldiers will know that it is time to give up..who wants to die for Sadam anyways.
At worst, the US suffers a few casualties (probably from friendly fire!).

The big issue is going to be how to deal with Iraq, post Sadam. The anti-US sentiment over there is not really that much to do with Iraq/Saddam...it is about the policies in general (present and past).

You will see a celebration in the streets of Baghdad that Saddam is gone...and their lives can finally start to improve. He lead them to a war with Iran that cost millions of lives...and got nothing as a result..same as with Kuwait.
They will thrilled he is history.

btw--the media focusses too much on certain people that think the whole region will erupt in war which I think is total BS. The opposite will happen. As for the markets, start of the attack with be one of the best buying opportunities of the decade. However, we probably go down ahead of it.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (20664)12/19/2002 1:05:21 AM
From: jjkirk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30712
 
OTOT: Gosh, Paul, where did you dig this stuff up? Please provide your sources for this OTOT stuff for our enjoyment. I must say the doom and gloom scenario is good for a few weeks of good USPIX gains.

According to the popular press, the Chief ot Staff of the Army and the Commandant of the Marine Corps are working their bolts to get more troops on the ground in the area of operations before crossing the line of departure. I would not disagree with that argument, if it were reported correctly. I suspect that it is just a part of the massive disinformation/misinformation campaign that has been waged for the past six months, or more.

The idea that Saddam would attack Kuwait and "cut off our supply lines"??? ROTFLMAO.... There would be not one piece of rubber on any tank or truck or artillery piece by the time they reached the middle of the southern no-fly zone...I think US Special Forces and Navy, Marine Corps, and Air Force air would make sure of that...

As far as holing up in "Bad-dag", Saddam's body will be dragged through the streets by his own people before it is all over. I have a good idea of how we will cause him to be coughed up, but I don't want to lay it out...I could be right...or, close....jj