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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: MechanicalMethod who wrote (83587)	12/19/2002 11:14:26 PM
From: Tom Pulley	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Is it a cycle based model? No, the timing model is based on 16 indicators (some long term and some short term) and the relationship of the indicators. The end result is the model tends to go against the general concensus. Nasdaq new highs should go higher before the fall rally ends since there was a good degree of capitulation in late July and at the lows a couple months later. stockcharts.com[e,a]daclyyay[d19900101,20021226][pb50][vc60][iLo64][J7589595,Y]&pref=G Vix should retest the 27 level and probably get to the 20-25 range on this rally: stockcharts.com[e,a]daclyyay[d20010119,20021219][pb7!b20!b12][vc60][iUa20,26,9!Ue20,26,9!Lp39,11,7][J6357448,Y]&pref=G I'm currently at 50% long and awaiting the signal to go to 100% long which I think will be coming soon. Tom