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To: Gary H who wrote (16629)12/21/2002 5:31:49 AM
From: sea_urchin  Respond to of 82052
 
Gary >Is this the future??

Who knows?

What concerns me about the forecast which you have demonstrated is:

"By analyzing the mathematical structure of these oscillations, we quantify them into one (or several) mathematical formula(s) that can then be extrapolated to provide the prediction shown"

Clearly, any prediction based on an extrapolation technique has as much chance to be wishful thinking as of coming true. The reason is that one can extrapolate anything --- and get any result --- it all depends on the time-frame one selects. These guys have chosen two years of history. What would be the result if they chose twenty?

The complexity of the mathematics is simply a smokescreen for uncritical observers or perhaps a mind-f@@ck for the guys who are making the predictions.



To: Gary H who wrote (16629)12/21/2002 7:56:01 AM
From: sea_urchin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 82052
 
Gary, here's the latest Aden commentary.

adenforecast.com

>>>Gold is at a 5½ year high and most important, it's now given the strongest bull market signal since 1980. A stronger phase of the bull market is now underway and gold is very strong above $330. But even if gold declines to $321, it'll still be strong. <<<

Every which way one looks gold is strong.

(Italics are mine)

On a point of interest, the recent run-up of POG to $352 caused the Dow/POG ratio to fall to about 24. Still a long way to go.

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