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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sam Citron who wrote (7583)12/22/2002 12:11:52 PM
From: Biomaven  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 52153
 
Sam,

I've owned a little Novartis for about a year. The patent expiration issues for most pharma are still too significant to make them very attractive, although of course prices are way down. BMY and SGP are interesting takeover candidates, although I doubt if they will do too much on their own.

Quite a lot will depend on what we see on the political front in terms of Medicare prescription benefits. We might see more total money for drugs at the expense of pressure on prices.

Frist is friendly to the pharma - he's the one that apparently drafted the recent Lilly legal bonanza. (I personally think the provision he drafted was sensible - unless vaccine makers have reasonable protection against suits we just will not see any new vaccines. I'd feel differently if I thought the legal system could render a fair verdict here, but I don't - the grieving parents will win jury verdicts in friendly venues every time against the giant greedy pharma).

Peter