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To: ild who wrote (211695)12/28/2002 7:11:26 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
Missed By a Mile (from Barrons)

At the start of 2002, nine of ten Wall Street strategists incorrectly
expected the market to rise this year. Only one, Douglas Cliggott,
then of J.P. Morgan Securities, correctly forecasted a sharp decline and
remains bearish today

S&P 500

Strategist Firm 2002 Target
Edward Kerschner UBS Warburg 1570
Thomas Galvin Credit Suisse First Boston*** 1375
Abby Joseph Cohen Goldman Sachs 1363
Jeffrey Applegate Lehman Brothers*** 1350
Tobias Levkovich Salomon Smith Barney 1350
Edward Yardeni Deutsche Bank* 1300
Steve Galbraith Morgan Stanley 1225
Richard Bernstein Merrill Lynch 1200
Thomas McManus Banc of America Securities 1200
Douglas Cliggott J.P. Morgan** 950
S&P 500 875

*Now at Prudential Financial
**Now at B&P Research Office
***No longer at the firm
As of 12/27 close



To: ild who wrote (211695)12/28/2002 11:37:23 PM
From: GraceZ  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
Cato Institute has a paper on derivatives which has a section that explains interest rate swaps, why and how they are used to offset interest rate risk.

cato.org