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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Doug who wrote (83618)	1/3/2003 8:16:23 PM
From: Psycho-Social	Respond to of 99985

Re Yesterday's surge: My indicator of Terrorism related news, The Fear Factor, has shown a strong correlation with stock price fluctuations. It leads by 3 to 5 wks. From its low in late Nov, it has risen moderately thru late Dec, meaning that fear of terrorism against the U.S. and its citizens has abated somewhat. Thus, the timing is perfect for a multi-week rally to have begun. I don't claim to know exactly how and why this indicator works, but it does. Here's hoping it confirms again, cause I'm 80% in stock funds, 20% in a Junk Bond Fund.