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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mark Marcellus who wrote (16058)1/3/2003 3:01:03 PM
From: Bob Rudd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78567
 
HD: I don't see a compelling case for it, despite the drop. Multiples aren't attractive...
1/3/02 EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX)=(2350*21.3-3834.260)/(5270-3,393)=24.6
* EV/FCF (2350*21.3-3834.260)/(5,963.0-3,393)=18
[No adjustment made for lowered guidance]
...Given the issues:
* Service problems that will require more SG&A to improve
* New locations in less populated areas - lower sales, less efficient - Growth is behind them due to saturation
* Lowes encroaching on HD areas that had minimal competition previously
* Nearing the end of the refi boom that fuels a lot of remodel purchasing