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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (64485)1/5/2003 8:15:10 PM
From: tekboy  Respond to of 281500
 
I haven't read anything worth a damn yet that discusses what our mid to long term policy with respect to Egypt should be. A real hot spot in about 2-3 years, mark my words. Any suggestions?

not really. Egypt is a crucial player in the Arab world and in the Arab-Israeli conflict, and for the last quarter-century it's been run by (relatively) friendly authoritarians who keep things reasonably calm. If they're pretty competent at remaining in power, however, they're incompetent at providing basic goods for their people, who get increasingly frustrated and upset. Cynical conservative (small "c") wisdom says things could be worse, so don't rock the boat. Idealists of one sort or another say things could be better, so we should do something--but nobody really knows what to do. I'd bet that unless something dramatic happens there, which it probably won't, we don't change our policy much and things continue pretty much as they have for the foreseeable future.

tb@whenindoubt,betonstasis.com